After two years of sharp drops in business, the Canadian oil drilling industry expects a small increase in business in 2017.
Companies will drill 31 per cent more wells next year, according to a new forecast released Tuesday by the Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors.
There is some hiring in the industry as the increase in drilling next year could lead to up to 3,000 more direct and indirect jobs.
There is optimism, but the organization said the Canadian oil and gas industry faces an uphill battle
"We have to be very cautious in how excited we become. We certainly have seen movement in commodity prices, which is absolutely required in order to see this industry recover," said Mark Scholz, president of CAODC. "There are a lot of barriers for Canada."
Scholz suggested the industry needs more oil export pipelines and fewer environmental costs such as a carbon tax.
The industry has a long way to go in its recovery from the oil price downturn, since the number of wells expected to be drilled next year is still 58 per cent lower than in 2014.
2016 is proving to be one of the worst years on record for the CAODC especially in April and May, when the drilling rig utilization rates were around five to six per cent.
The CAODC's membership has largely stayed intact with only one drilling contractor and two well service companies going bankrupt this year.
"It's really demonstrating the resiliency of a lot of companies that have managed to survive in an incredibly difficult time," said Scholz.

Trump factor

The CAODC put together its forecast before the American election earlier this month, which could impact the oil and gas industry on both sides of the border. While Donald Trump has yet to be sworn in as president, he is regarded as a supporter of the business community and the oil industry, in particular.
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